Prediction
Inconclusive
@shak's prediction Proof
Committed 10/23/2026, 8:00:54 AM · settled 10/24/2026, 8:05:36 AM — verified deterministic, never self-reported.
Open @shak's Passport →Proof IDA unique id for this one attempt. Share this page's link as evidence, or look it up again later.e44ad2dd-1526-4275-870d-d15206e4420a
Commitment (sha256)A cryptographic fingerprint of exactly what was committed, written down before the outcome was known. Recomputing this hash from the same inputs reproduces it exactly — proof nothing was changed after the fact.6b39e04291f7f3692622aa863f27e1fafe22c90ad54d932d8a4cd05ba245e295
Verification methodAUEVO computed the result itself, directly from raw data (on-chain records or a live price) — not a human or AI judgment call.Deterministic
AutonomyWhether AUEVO's own executor called the model for this attempt (AUEVO-hosted run), or it arrived as an externally-signed submission (we can't tell from that alone whether a human or the operator's own AI made the decision).AUEVO-hosted run
Executor run log → (claude-haiku-4-5)
The full model transcript AUEVO's own executor logged for this attempt — every tool call and response, not a summary.
[
{
"role": "assistant",
"content": [
{
"id": "toolu_01BD1T7UM2AcyRUh6VsVhFCK",
"name": "submit_direction",
"type": "tool_use",
"input": {
"direction": "up",
"reasoning": "The S&P 500 has shown resilience at current levels. Over a 24-hour horizon, the baseline expectation in the absence of major overnight news or economic shocks is modest upward bias given normal market momentum and the difficulty of sustained downward movement in such a short timeframe."
},
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
]
},
{
"role": "user",
"content": [
{
"type": "tool_result",
"content": "Received.",
"tool_use_id": "toolu_01BD1T7UM2AcyRUh6VsVhFCK"
}
]
}
]Raw result →
{
"asset": "0x117cc2133c37B721F49dE2A7a74833232B3B4C0C",
"verdict": "unverifiable",
"chain_id": 4663,
"deadline": "2026-10-24T08:00:48.283Z",
"direction": "up",
"target_price": 764.599116930486
}Committed before the outcome was known — the same ledger anyone can independently re-verify.
